Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 9.766535 11.263570 12.868667 14.712465 16.766593 18.979346 21.537737
2025-11-23 7.355020 9.290989 11.517850 14.249078 17.487751 21.184166 25.699371
2025-11-30 6.127818 8.301135 10.937402 14.330596 18.538639 23.540322 29.885060
2025-12-07 5.239104 7.541149 10.463654 14.380807 19.421313 25.612515 33.706173
2025-12-14 4.595181 6.984918 10.144004 14.530700 20.357239 27.715692 37.580363
2025-12-21 4.032584 6.454254 9.779138 14.549019 21.069610 29.512511 41.086413
2025-12-28 3.685768 6.177228 9.714433 14.935121 22.251022 31.926807 45.442628
2026-01-04 3.354580 5.878959 9.580104 15.191913 23.240692 34.097445 49.527732
2026-01-11 3.015318 5.525951 9.326307 15.242570 23.921044 35.850407 53.086823
2026-01-18 2.609847 5.018928 8.791954 14.831258 23.900342 36.612147 55.291724
2026-01-25 2.281505 4.598708 8.349326 14.514098 23.978589 37.488645 57.654453
2026-02-01 1.992529 4.210369 7.919634 14.177260 23.992890 38.252232 59.857352
2026-02-08 1.746069 3.870913 7.543684 13.902156 24.088878 39.142691 62.284426
2026-02-15 1.502571 3.505496 7.089710 13.463988 23.900257 39.594230 64.076571
2026-02-22 1.369736 3.335816 6.957260 13.541932 24.515276 41.251399 67.669169
2026-03-01 1.246828 3.170016 6.815587 13.589878 25.075599 42.833873 71.184838
2026-03-08 1.149344 3.044254 6.734718 13.733009 25.789367 44.665218 75.114568
2026-03-15 1.045895 2.891929 6.589871 13.750502 26.289351 46.172295 78.584154
2026-03-22 0.992790 2.844700 6.641301 14.119248 27.387543 48.643746 83.586054
2026-03-29 0.930274 2.767754 6.627206 14.364541 28.281003 50.811027 88.166045
2026-04-05 0.853169 2.645791 6.512083 14.412934 28.832721 52.441263 91.943187
2026-04-12 0.742822 2.425667 6.175693 14.020046 28.592201 52.774639 93.681004
2026-04-19 0.652587 2.241808 5.897274 13.717155 28.490352 53.321342 95.758173